Aalen–Johansen · three states · monthly
How many advance — and how fast?
How long does it take the typical WCS competitor to move up to the next division? How many times do they need to earn points?
Here, we answer these questions with a statistical analysis of the WSDC database.
Each month, we track the share of dancers who have Their WSDC record shows them eligible for the next division up., who are Has been in the division at least 25 months and has neither moved up nor gone quiet.Not the same as competing actively today — a dancer counts here until they have gone 25 months without a point., and who have No WSDC points anywhere in 25 months. A guess from silence, not something the data records.Nobody tells the WSDC they have stopped, so this is inferred from a gap in the record — it includes dancers who are on a break and will come back..
